Asia rises, the west declines the planet may also be racked by wars over food and water. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement policy. I would especially like to acknowledge the work of the latesenior analyst christopher decker who provided critical help with the forecasts on global health andpandemics before his untimely death. Paradox of progress, the sixth edition in the national intelligence council s nic series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Scope note following the publication in 2008 of the national intelligence assessment on the national security implications of global climate change to 2030, the national. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. In this project, first we envisioned social values and experiences the city of tigre should provide for its citizens, and then by backcasting we identified crucial issues, creating a plan to achieve the vision for 2030 as proposed through necs solutions. Alternative worlds national intelligence council, director of national intelligence on. The two day conference is being held in partnership with the national intelligence council. National intelligence council he served as deputy national intelligence officer for science and technology. Alternative worlds office of the director of national intelligence. How to read the national intelligence councils latest. Trends 2030 pdf, prepared by the national intelligence council. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. National intelligence committee, national intelligence assessment on the national security implications of global climate change to 2030, june 25, 2008. A publication of the national intelligence council by national intelligence council 20151204 on.
Grid 2030 a national vision for electricitys second 100. National intelligence councils new assessment of what the world will look like in 2030 shows significant business risks and opportunities from resource scarcity, urbanization. We look forward to your insightful thoughts and discussions on themes around the upcoming global trends 2030 report to be published later this year. Progress office of the director of national intelligence.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. The global trends 2030 report was released at an atlantic council conference in december 2012. House permanent select committee on intelligence house. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. Global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. A publication of the national intelligence council by national intelligence council 20151204. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. Chinas economy to outgrow americas by 2030 as world. Prominent roles predicted for demographic and environmental trends.
This is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. A cocreative project vision 2030 for tigre, argentina. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Government printing office gpo, superintendent of documents, po box 391954. The national intelligence council nic is the center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking within the united states intelligence community ic. More extreme weather howard passell moderated will megacities.
This week, the national intelligence council released its quadrennial report about global trends, and its a sober read. In december 2016, the outgoing and incoming administrations were given global trends. National intelligence council forecasts megatrends. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report identified four key megatrends that are driving change within the international system. National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states. Report published in 2009 by the national intelligence council of the united states nic 200904d. On the national intelligence council this effort was conducted by the national intelligence officers for science and technology, and for economics, and the nics long range analysis unit. Worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their. The global trends 2030 report by the national intelligence council proposes a scenario called the non state world in which urbanization, technology and capital accumulation together accelerate the rise of spaced economic zones.
The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. The us national intelligence council on alternative global. National intelligence council, december 2004, which can be found. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. The 2030 agenda for sustainable development, its 2030 agenda for sustainable development. Preparing for the future of artificial intelligence 2 given the strategic importance of ai, moreover, it is appropriate for the federal government to monitor developments in the field worldwide in order to get early warning of important changes arising elsewhere in. National intelligence council predicts there will be no. Resources 2030 taskforce, australian resourcesproviding. The national security strategy, issued in february 2015, is clear that climate change is an urgent and growing threat to our national security, contributing to increased natural.
The national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces. Geopolitical implications open pdf 482 kb the national intelligence councilsponsored workshop entitled the implications of global climate change in russia, held on may 18, 2009, brought together a panel of russia experts to consider the probable effects of climate change on russia from a social, political, and economic perspective. The competing forces shaping 2030 2 contents pwc s global people and organisation practice brings together an. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. How to cite 20, the us national intelligence council on alternative global futures in 2030. A changing climate will have real impacts on our military and the way it executes its missions. In 2015, the united nations published transforming our world.
The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Global trends 2030 is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Individual empowerment majority of worlds population wont be impoverished. Us national intelligence council global trends 2030. The objective of the research team as a result is not to replicate these existing efforts, but rather to bring the existing uncertainty surrounding these trends to policymakers attention. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is. The national intelligence councils global trends report. Instead, the report says, power will shift to networks and coalitions in a multipolar world. It leads the ics effort to produce national intelligence estimates and other documents. Following the publication in 2008 of the national intelligence assessment on the national security implications of global climate change to 2030, the national intelligence council nic embarked on a research effort to explore in greater detail the national security implications of climate change in six countriesregions of the world. Within the intelligence community, we were supported by the defense intelligence agencys armed forces medical intelligence center, the office of naval. Grid 2030 a national vision for electricitys second 100 years v standardized architectures and techniques for distributed intelligence and smart power systems, and cleaner power generation systems, including nuclear, clean coal, renewable, and distributed energy.
The national intelligence council sponsors workshops and research with nongovernmental experts to gain knowledge and insight and to sharpen debate on critical issues. National intelligence council predicts continued ascent of chinas economy back in 2010, china officially passed japan to become the worlds second largest economy. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts. Chinas economy to outgrow americas by 2030 as world faces tectonic shift this article is more than 7 years old. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. Formerly a senior fellow at cias sherman kent school for intelligence analysis, he has held management positions in both cias directorates of intelligence now analysis and operations. Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing. Usa today a report by the national intelligence council predicts that the united states will lose its superpower status by 2030, but that no country including china will be a hegemonic power. Ambassador robert hutchings, chairman of the nic, opened the. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. The economic power of cities is indeed growing dramatically. Richard engel from the national intelligence council posted climate change 2030. Global megatrends for the next 20 years and how they will affect the united states.